uWink Predicts 600 TRILLION in Game Sales, Confirms Hollywood Location Opening

It’s time to go Hollywood!
uWink (Nasdaq: UWKI.OB), an entertainment and hospitality software development company and the operator of an interactive restaurant concept called uWink, has made it official and has sent notice that they are opening their latest location at Hollywood and Highland June 27th, 2008.
(Update: It turns out that this location is actually opening on Tuesday June 17th but having their actual “Grand Opening” weekend June 27th-29th.)
Well, let’s call it a “soft” opening, as the invite that I got requested RSVP confirmation and was explicit that the event was “invite only”.
But heck, we can still celebrate the occasion right?
Here’s a copy of the invite:

Bottom Line: This is great news, and I wish I was in the area to go to the opening. I’ll be here for the Mountain View, CA location opening, but it’s good to see uWink executing their strategy and getting these locations opened with minimal delays.
Nolan Bushnell Predicts 600 TRILLION Games Served!
Ok, so now that the trivial stuff is out the way, I know you are craving for the headline that uWink thinks it can serve over 600 TRILLION games through its uWink franchise and the games it provides.
Atari Inc. (OTC: ATAR.PK) and Chuck E. Cheese (NYSE: CEC) founder and current uWink CEO Nolan Bushnell, in a well-written and far ranging article on GameDaily.com, talks about many things pertaining to the uWink restaurant concept, gaming in general, and his place within the industry.
One of the things he discussed in particular that caught my attention is his desire to get the uWink concept, specifically the gaming technology and social aspects of the games, into as many restaurants and other social environments as possible, and in so doing, increase the total market share and number of games served to an astronomical level…
Yea, he said it, potentially 600 TRILLION served…akin to McDonald’s Corp (NYSE: MCD) and their reporting of their Billions served for hamburgers.
Now before you get to excited, you have to take what was said in the interview in context.
Here’s a brief excerpt:
“Probably the most important [aspect] is that we have decided to sell our software to anybody,” announces Bushnell. “When you look at numbers…” He asks for a pen. “Right now, we serve about six million games per restaurant.” McDonald’s famously measured their numbers of burgers sold, but Bushnell measures the games.
“We’re going to be selling our software, and right now we’ve got some inquiries on the part of some really interesting people.” Those people find the menu ordering system to be an efficient, labor saving device.
“We’ve got this thing where I get to serve the games,” he says, and they don’t care about the games, “and I get a little piece of the revenue.”
“I believe that, by 2020, that I can…be in 100,000 restaurants,” estimates Bushnell. So at six million per year, he continues, figuring on the napkin, “Zero, zero, zero.” He pauses, adding. “Zero, zero.”
“Six hundred…” Bushnell says, pausing once more to count just how large this number is. His publicist helpfully guesses how the sentence ends, “Million games?”
But the man responsible for the business of interactive entertainment looks up from his napkin. “Six hundred trillion,” he says calmly. And as the number sinks in, “That’s a lot,” he says. “Now what’s wrong with that? A 100,000 restaurants?”
Bushnell figures that there are at least a million restaurants in the U.S., and that he can get at least a 10 percent market share if his company offers a must-have, and assuming no competition.
“You say 600 trillion and 20 cents a game, even a dime a game – ‘The Six Trillion Dollar Man’ – the number’s just silly. So who knows what the number’s actually going to be.”
“But, I believe there’s a reasonable probability that we’re going to be in 100,000 restaurants.” Even if it were only 10,000, says Bushnell, there are 22,000 McDonald’s, and he’d only need one major deal to surpass that mark.
Bottom Line: This is just fun with numbers. Don’t go buying uWink’s stock today expecting the next Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)!
But in all seriousness, I talked extensively about the prospects of uWink not just as a restaurant concept, but more so in terms of their ability to leverage their content and platform to sell to other restaurants, and the hospitality industry.
They’ve already landed a few deals in this space, and it looks like as we go forward, the uWink concept will be known more for the actual platform than the restaurants, which is fine with me anyway, as this will be a potentially much more lucrative business with higher margins, and a broader appeal and market share opportunity.
Come along for the ride!
It all starts with the latest uWink restaurant openings in Hollywood and Highland, and Mountain View, CA in the next two months.
New to the uWink story?
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*Variables You Should Know About uWink, Inc. (Nasdaq: UWKI.OB) |
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|---|---|
| Current Recommendation: |
STRONG BUY |
| The Company: | uWink, Inc. is an entertainment and hospitality software development company that develops casual, interactive, social games, in addition to licensing the rights to those games and their proprietary touch-screen ordering and gaming interface to restaurants, entertainment venues and the hospitality industry. uWink also owns and operates several restaurants under the uWink brand name that utilize this technology. |
| Why Buy Now: |
|
| Market Cap: | $17.74 |
| Revenue (2007): | $2.55 |
| Cash/Debt: | $5.3/ $0 |
| Current Price: | $1.45 |
| Risk Rating (?): | 10 (Highest Possible Risk) |
| Position Size (?): | 1/4 (11-23-07), 1/4 (12-6-07), 1/4 (1-15-08) |
| Buy Around Price (?): | $1.80 (11-23-07), $1.85 (12-6-07), $1.25 (1-15-08) |
*As of 6-16-08. Except share price, all values in millions.
(6) comments to “uWink Predicts 600 TRILLION in Game Sales, Confirms Hollywood Location Opening”
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June 16th, 2008 at 9:19 pm
I believe this is the first time I’ve seen a “strong buy” … yet, the risk rating is 10? Why? Is it because of the possible risks associated with expanding/opening in these new locations?
June 16th, 2008 at 9:56 pm
Mona,
This is a great question.
The risk rating is associated with many factors, everything from the stock being thinly traded and a penny stock, to the fact that the uWink concept is not yet proven and it is a new company.
However, because I have done my research and analysis on the company, I also believe that the risk is worth it, and from a risk/reward standpoint, you have much more to gain than you have to lose.
Always remember that my stocks are for the riskiest portion of your portfolio, money that you can afford to lose and take chances on smaller companies that have a chance to explode and become large companies, or wither away and disappear.
Over time, through my analysis and research, I hope to bring you more and more companies that are the former, and not the latter.
Chris
June 23rd, 2008 at 6:44 am
Hi Chris,
Thanks for sharing your analysis. I have a quick question on uWink. When do you expect the company to be cash flow positive. Currently it is burning through 2million of cash per quarter and will run out of cash in three quarters at this rate. Does that mean we have more dilution coming through stock offering?
Goli.
June 23rd, 2008 at 4:05 pm
Goli,
That’s a great question, and one that I address further in my research report, and upcoming revised uWink research report.
According to my conversations with management, they expect that they can have each location cash flow positive within 12-18 months tops, and that they cash that they have on balance now (about $5 million), is enough to get them through the next 12-18 months or beyond, depending on how many licensing deals they sign for the use of their software in other restaurants and hospitality businesses.
That’s where the true revenue and cash flow generation will take place.
For now though, uWink will concentrate on their 3 core locations as a showcase for their technology platform, which is what they really want to focus on going forward.
Chris
July 8th, 2008 at 8:51 pm
Um, are you sure the math is right? 100,000 restaurants times 6 million per year equals 600 BILLION games served per year, not 600 Trillion. Unless he’s talking about a 1000-year horizon.
July 9th, 2008 at 1:55 am
Jiminy,
The good news, is that it’s not my math! Take that for what you will…
The simple part of that whole article was merely to illustrate the potential, not argue over semantics and actual calculations…
Even if it is 600 BILLION…is that OK with you for a long term investment?
Chris