News Bites for 2-21-09: GeoEye-1 Imagery Approved by NGA, AAR Cleared by FAA

By Chris Fernandez | February 20th, 2009 at 7:52 pm | (6) comments
2

I wanted to update you on 2 of the companies in the PeakStocks.com portfolio that have had developments in the last few days that you should be aware of.

This includes:

  • AAR, Corp. (NYSE: AIR), which had its landing gear operations shut down temporarily last week, has gotten approval from the FAA to reopen their Miami facilities and
  • GeoEye Inc. (NASDAQ: GEOY), which announced on Friday right before the market closed, that the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA), has approved their GeoEye-1 satellite imagery, and they can now begin to realize the full revenue of $12.5 million per month from the NGA for their Service Level Agreement (SLA).

Let’s get right to it.

AAR Logo

New to the AAR story?

AAR Corp. provides products and services to the aviation, aerospace, and defense industries worldwide.

It operates in four segments: Aviation Supply Chain; Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO); Structures and Systems; and Aircraft Sales and Leasing.

Through its Aviation Supply Chain and MRO segments, AAR provides everything from aircraft parts, maintenance and logistics support, to the actual maintenance and repair of aircraft at its 4 MRO facilities at various locations throughout the U.S.

In addition, through its Structures and Systems segment, AAR provides vital products and services to the U.S. military including specialized construction of mobile shelters and pallets, as well as support and products for various military aircraft and aircraft support, storage and maintenance functions.

Finally, through its Sales and Leasing segment, AAR buys, sells and leases used aircraft for itself, on behalf of others, and through joint ventures.

Want More?

  • Read: My first post about the FAA shutting down AAR’s landing gear facilities here.
  • OR: My latest company analysis and quarterly earnings breakdown here.
  • OR: Read why I recently added to my AAR position by clicking here.
FAA Returns AAR’s Landing Gear Services Repair Station Certificate

In a previous post, I outlined the recent shutdown of AAR’s Landing Gear affiliate in Miami because of recent troubles with the FAA.

Those that have been following the situation might recall that in mid/late 2008 there was a controversial letter sent by the FAA to AAR claiming that some of the maintenance that they were performing on certain landing gear elements was not up to spec, and might be in violation of certain FAA mandates.

You can read the entirety of that post and get the full scoop by clicking here.

The part in question is called a landing-gear truck beam.

The truck beam is the main component of the landing gear. It goes across the entire component from axle to axle, and looks like an upside-down T.

This vertical bar acts as a shock absorber and is very important in terms of landing stability and strength of the entire mechanism.

The FAA’s notice refers to an enamel paint applied to the inside, or “bore,” of the horizontal bar, and the potential for that paint to obstruct a drainage hole in the beam, thus masking potential corrosion and preventing proper drainage.

You can read my entire take on the situation, including some possibly disturbing news on a plane that collapsed while refueling that was serviced using one of the AAR’s truck beams here.

At any rate, Friday after the market closed, AAR issued a press release stating that the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has returned AAR Landing Gear Services’ repair station certificate enabling the facility to resume full operations.

AAR further commented that per the consent order, AAR will perform liquid penetrant inspections for Boeing aircraft landing gear on a going-forward basis, in addition to the magnetic particle inspections that it had been performing previously.

It appears that the maintenance and repair checks that AAR had been performing previously weren’t quite good enough for the FAA’s liking, and left AAR open to a possible shutdown as a result.

Additionally, in accordance with recent Boeing guidance applicable to all persons performing maintenance and overhauls on Boeing aircraft landing gear, AAR will re-inspect the Boeing aircraft landing gear currently at its facility using the liquid penetrant inspection process before releasing it to customers.

I am not sure what exactly this means, but it sounds rather important, and perhaps like something that should have been done all along, no?

Hopefully, this little episode will be put to rest now, and because this affiliate only represents about 6% of AAR’s revenues, it won’t impact the bottom or top lines much.

However, what disturbs me, and what I have issue with, is that perceptions might change, and in fact, several airline carriers were quoted recently as saying that they are evaluating their options, and other landing gear repair centers as a result of the temporary shutdown as well as the overall perception that AAR might not be performing the repairs and maintenance on these parts as they should have been all along.

Let’s hope that this is the last that we hear about this incident, and that AAR has tucked its tail between its legs, and is taking care of business as it should have been all along.

Want More?

  • Read: My first post about the FAA shutting down AAR’s landing gear facilities here.
  • OR: My latest company analysis and quarterly earnings breakdown here.
  • OR: Read why I recently added to my AAR position by clicking here.

*Variables You Should Know About AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR)

Current Recommendation: BUY
The Company: AAR Corp. provides products and services to the aviation, aerospace, and defense industries worldwide. It operates in four segments: Aviation Supply Chain; Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO); Structures and Systems; and Aircraft Sales and Leasing.
Why Buy Now:
  • Good risk/reward profile at current price
  • Stock trading near tangible book, and book value and at a discount to its peers
  • Cyclical business possibly near a bottom in fundamentals
  • Stable margins, rapidly increasing cash flow
  • US military and defense spending will continue and could possibly increase in the foreseeable future
  • Diversified company, operating in 4 primary segments with no segment representing more than 50% of total revenue and each one showing double digit growth
  • The beauty of their operations lies in the synergies that exist between all their business segments
  • There are no direct competitors that do exactly what AAR does
  • Seasoned management
Market Cap:
$604.00
Revenue (TTM):
$1,440.00
Cash/Debt:
$139/ $526
Current Price: $15.75
Risk Rating (?): 6.5 (Above Average)
Position Size (?): 1/2 (10-22-07), 1/4 (1-8-08), 1/4 (1-9-08), 1/4 (3-3-08), 1/4 (10-24-08)
Buy Around Price (?): $30.00 (10-22-07), $34.00 (1-8-08), $31.25 (1-9-08), $26.00 (3-3-08), $11.75 (10-24-08)

*As of 2-20-09. Except share price, all values in millions.

Pages: « previous page 1 2next page »

Get more great content like this sent directly to your inbox as soon as I publish it.

Rate this article: 1 Star2 Stars3 Stars4 Stars5 Stars (No Ratings Yet)
Loading ... Loading ...

(6) comments to “News Bites for 2-21-09: GeoEye-1 Imagery Approved by NGA, AAR Cleared by FAA”

  1. Chad Says:

    Once again, GEOY is getting taken out back. Down many times the market on above average volume over the last few days. Looks to me that we either seeing shorts piling on expecting zero from mgmt until 1st quarter earnings or you have another redemption by one of our institutional owners. One way or another, Geoeye is getting crushed.

    I know you don’t believe management should provide guidance, but the street is clearly having trouble understanding the potential for this company. Even with Cert we can’t find any support for the stock price. Funny thing is we don’t even know when the upcoming conf call is because GEOY management is so terrible.

  2. Chris Fernandez Says:

    Michael,

    I was waiting for my first GeoEye remarks about the current stock price!

    I just want to reiterate to you that the market itself, and by that I mean every single index, has declined precipitously over the last few weeks, and accelerated greatly.

    GeoEye’s performance is still superior to that of the overall market in the same time frame, and that’s ultimately, what we are after as long term investors.

    Show me any stock that has been spared, and they are very few and far between, and we happen to own one!

    The guidance or lack thereof, has nothing to do with the price move.

    Once GeoEye reports earnings in the future, with GeoEye-1 in their numbers, we’ll see the stock price follow suit.

    I agree that GeoEye’s management has more patching up to do with investors, but I hope they are getting the hang of this now.

    Chris

  3. charles jaster Says:

    Chris- I have been following GEOY stock since I purchased 100 shares for a friend of mind. I do understand this market is just horrible and geting worse day by day. I too believe from my blog readings that GEOY mgmt needs to be more friendly and informative to their investors and advertise/market thier company MUCH more. I too feel GEOY is indeed doing well in this market and I also feel stock should rise even in this market when earnings are finally announced etc, but I get this feeling the company will still not market thier stock agressively enough as necessary in this bad stock environment.
    Please let me know your take on mgmts current passive if any approach in this regards—- thanks , chuck

  4. Chris Fernandez Says:

    Charles,

    From what I have been able to gather, GeoEye will be releasing earnings relatively soon, say within the next week, probably early next week, and here we are without a formal announcement.

    I bet they will announce Friday that their earnings announcement will be held early next week, but you are right, this lack of announcement, and transparency is par for the course with these guys.

    It’s just a risk of owning the stock, so bear it in mind in the future.

    Management was doing a better job lately, but it appears they have fallen backwards again.

    Most of this is due to their contracts with the NGA, but as a result of GeoEye’s resurgence as a company, and their stock, I think they will seriously need to address this ASAP.

    Chris

  5. MC Says:

    I’m probably dreaming and reading more into this than I should, but do you think that Geoeye could be acquired soon and the reason we haven’t heard date/time of the conf call is because they are negotiating? Now is by far the best time to buy Geoeye if you are Google. They definitely have the cash and while they are already exclusive, they would benefit for all the reasons Eric Jackson mentioned last year.

    It may not be the best time for longs given how cheap this stock is right now but I’m curious to know what you think. All speculation I realize but I’m not sure given the size of the company that we would hear a rumor pop up anywhere.

    -MC

  6. Chris Fernandez Says:

    Michael,

    I suppose anything’s possible…but it could have more to do with the NGA certification, or problems that they are having with their auditing, or the like.

    I am only speculating here, so don’t take my word for it.

    Also, if they were in talks with Google, or another company to take them over, then it better be for a significant premium over the closing price Friday, I would say at least 50% to $30 per share otherwise I would feel ripped off as a shareholder.

    Also, I have serious doubts about any type of acquisition by a mostly Internet only company like Google because what do they know about running a satellite business?

    How would the government look upon satellite imagery being handled by a company (Google) that already monopolizes so much of the world’s information?

    I just don’t see this happening, and attribute the silence over at GeoEye to bad management, and problems transitioning from their old CFO.

    Let’s just hope that they aren’t about to drop a bomb on us come Monday!

    Chris

Leave a Reply

PeakStocks.com welcomes and encourages reader comments. Add your voice to the discussion whether you agree with me or not.