News Bites 4/13/09: GeoEye Benefits From Government Ruling, Rick’s Pre-announces

By Chris Fernandez | April 12th, 2009 at 2:45 pm | (0) comments
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I wanted to update you on 2 of the companies in the PeakStocks.com portfolio that have had developments in the last few days that you should be aware of.

This includes:

  • Rick’s Cabaret International, Inc. (NASDAQ: RICK), which in the last few days has pre-reported Q2/09 sales and gave a brief business update, and
  • GeoEye Inc. (NASDAQ: GEOY), which has garnered a favorable ruling by the U.S. government putting more money towards helping out the commercial space imagery sector, as well as an update on GeoEye-1 imagery demand due to geopolitical events.

Let’s get right to it.

Rick’s Cabaret LogoNew to the Rick’s story?

Rick’s Cabaret International, Inc., owns and operates upscale adult nightclubs serving primarily businessmen and professionals.

Rick’s differentiates themselves by providing an atmosphere where they can offer a unique quality entertainment environment that includes highly experienced and well screened entertainers, high quality managers hired from within the adult entertainment industry, and finally, providing an atmosphere and ambiance, including exclusive VIP rooms, that appeal to upscale clientele.

Rick’s also owns and operates several online and offline media properties that produce adult websites as well as cater to owners and operators of intimate apparel and adult retail stores.

Rick’s nightclubs offer live adult entertainment, restaurant, and bar operations in Houston, Austin, San Antonio, Minneapolis, Minnesota, New York, Dallas Fort Worth, Charlotte, and other cities under the names Rick’s Cabaret, XTC, and Club Onyx.

As of September 30, 2008, Rick’s operated 19 adult nightclubs.

Want more?

  • Read my update on the company’s last earnings release and conference call here.
  • OR: Read my initial company buy recommendation here.

–> Get updates you WON’T find on PeakStocks.com by following me on Twitter.

Rick’s Announces Higher Revenue Than Expected

Same-club sales decline

On Thursday April 9th, Rick’s Cabaret preannounced their Q2/2009 sales in a press release while simultaneously announcing that their same-club sales declined.

First the good news: revenue from Rick’s upscale gentlemen’s clubs climbed 18.2% to $18.07 million in the quarter ending March 31, 2009.

Analysts were projecting $17.46 million.

The company said the increase was due to contributions from its midtown Manhattan Rick’s Cabaret and as a result of branding conversions of clubs in Philadelphia and Dallas.

Now for the bad new: Same-club sales declined by 7.6% to $14.05 million.

The decline in same-club sales was not entirely expected, as Rick’s was facing an uphill battle at several of their highest profile clubs, especially the location in Las Vegas, that were going to drag down results utilizing this metric.

What’s not clear to me however, and I’ll have to do a little digging around to find out, is if these results include the Las Vegas location.

If they do not, you can rest assured that same-club sales will decline markedly in the coming months when these numbers are wrapped into the overall results.

During the quarter the company converted the Rick’s Cabaret in Philadelphia to a Club Onyx format catering to African-American gentlemen; converted the Rick’s Cabaret in Dallas to its XTC Cabaret all-nude format serving a younger and more blue-collar clientele; and began new marketing initiatives for the Rick’s Cabaret/Las Vegas that have resulted in increased market share.

CEO Langan said in a statement:

“Despite the tough economic environment we continue to make gains at our key Rick’s Cabaret/New York City club where we had a solid quarter and a particularly strong March.”

“While we have seen slippage in some other markets we are pleased with the results of our club rebranding in Dallas and Philadelphia, and our aggressive new marketing program in Las Vegas.”

Bottom Line:

The top line beat is a pleasant surprise, even though it is only by about 3.5% over expectations, but it’s better than 3.5% below expectations.

In addition, to anyone who’s been paying attention, Rick’s stock has been rocketing up from a low of about $2.50 to now being in the $5-6 range in a little over a month.

This is a critical level for the stock price as $5 per share is often a cut off point for many funds and money managers as far as the price level that their fund is able to own a stock.

I think we’ve seen the lows in Rick’s stock price for now, and are seeing slight signs of a bounce in the overall economic picture, at least as it pertains to Rick’s rebranding efforts and efficiencies.

There was no mention of profit, margins, etc., which we already know means that they are going to come in woefully low.

Rick’s underperforming clubs are really pulling things down overall, but I am encouraged by the rebranding efforts at their lagging clubs, and the quick turnaround which they have seen.

From what I have been reading, these efforts are paying immediate dividends for Rick’s.

It’s one thing to struggle in a down economy, it’s another to do nothing about it.

Rick’s management has taken a very active route towards rebranding underperforming clubs, tightening up operations by laying off some workers, and implementing other cost controls.

Let’s see how these play out when Rick’s officially announces their Q2/09 earnings in the next few weeks.

New to the Rick’s story?

  • Read my update on the company’s last earnings release and conference call here.
  • OR: Read my initial company buy recommendation here.

–> Get updates you WON’T find on PeakStocks.com by following me on Twitter.

*Variables You Should Know About Rick’s  (NASDAQ: RICK)

Current Recommendation:
BUY
The Company: Rick’s Cabaret International, Inc., owns and operates upscale adult nightclubs serving primarily businessmen and professionals. Rick’s also owns and operates several online and offline media properties that produce adult websites as well as cater to owners and operators of intimate apparel and adult retail stores.
Why Buy Now:
  • Best In Breed Player in a Largely Fragmented Industry
  • Liquidty Largely Intact
  • Club Rebranding and Operational Tightening Improving Results
  • Extremely High Levels of Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow
  • High Levels of Insider Ownership
  • Valuation Extremely Attractive Using Many Metrics
  • “Sin” Stock Largely Underfollowed by Wall Street
  • Continued Execution by Tenured Management Team
Market Cap:
$49.9
Revenue (TTM):
$66.3
Cash/Debt:
$2.98/32.5
Current Price: $5.50
Risk Rating (?): 8 (High)
Position Size (?): 1/4 (10-8-08)
Buy Around Price (?): $7.00 (10-8-08)

*As of 4-9-09. Except share price, all values in millions.

Now let’s take a look at what’s going on with GeoEye…

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